Itās official ā Adani GroupĀ is pushing to take over the Jomo Kenyatta International AirportĀ in Nairobi, but if you think this is good news for Kenya, think again! š¤Ø While the Indian conglomerate promises big changes, what theyāre really offering is a bad dealĀ that could cost Kenyans big timeĀ ā higher fees, fewer benefits, and long-term consequences for the country. Letās break it down, because this deal smells like a disaster waiting to happen. š”
š° A One-Sided Cash Grab
Adaniās proposal sounds sweet on the surface: they want to run the airport for 30 years, redevelop it, and then hand it back. But hold up, because all the cash flowsĀ generated by the airport will go to Adani, not the Kenyan government. š¤Æ In a fair deal, only the new terminal and runway should generate revenue for the private operator. But here, Adani gets EVERYTHING! The money from the existing terminal, the current operations? Yep, they get that too. Why should Kenyans hand over their airportās profits to a foreign corporation?Ā š¤
Worse still, Adani wants the government to pay for the developed assetsĀ at the end of the contract. Excuse me?!Ā The government already owns those assets! Thatās like someone selling you your own house. š©
šø Higher Costs, Lower Benefits for Kenya
Hereās another thing thatāll get you boiling: Adaniās calculations show that fees for airlines using Jomo Kenyatta International Airport would skyrocket. š« In fact, the airport will become more expensive than Bole International Airport in Addis Ababa, its main competitor in the region. For some routes, Nairobiās fees would doubleĀ those at Bole. So who ends up paying? You, the passengers. The higher costs for airlines will be passed on to travelers. āļøšø
Letās not forget: Adani wants an 18% internal rate of returnĀ on its investment. Thatās massive! š¤Æ For them to get those profits, the fees will go up, and Kenya will have to take on more risk while Adaniās profits are guaranteed.
š Optimistic Predictions & Fishy Assumptions
Adaniās projections assume unrealistic growthĀ in passenger numbers ā a 4.5% annual increaseĀ for the next 30 years. š But letās face it, thatās way too optimistic. No financial expert would take such numbers seriously without rigorous stress testing. Yet here we are, with Kenya poised to sign off on this ridiculous assumption. š¤¦āāļø
š¦ A Shady Tax Holiday for Adani?
Adani is also asking for a tax holiday. Yes, you read that right. They want to skip paying taxes while they make billionsĀ off the airport. š” While Kenyaās policies do allow tax holidays for some sectors, this doesnāt fit. Airports are profitable businesses, and Adani doesnāt need special treatment. This is yet another way Kenya stands to lose. š§
šØ Land Grab Concerns
Thereās also a major land question. Adani plans to develop additional facilities like offices and convention centers, but they expect Kenya Airports AuthorityĀ to provide the land. Whoa, hold on. If the government owns the land, shouldnāt thatĀ be part of the dealās cost-benefit analysis? What happens if Kenya has to buy the land? Thatās money down the drain for a government already outsourcing renovations because of cash flow problems. š
Final Thoughts: šØ Kenya, Watch Out!
Kenyaās Public Private Partnerships ActĀ was created to protect the country from shady deals like this, but it looks like this one is slipping through the cracks. Adaniās promises of āquick turnaround timeā and ārisk mitigationā are not convincing. Instead, Kenya would benefit more from an open tenderĀ that promotes competitive pricingĀ and transparency. But thatās not happening here, and itās clear who stands to gain ā Adani. š¤
TL;DR Summary š°
Adani Groupās proposal to redevelop Jomo Kenyatta International AirportĀ is a bad dealĀ for Kenya. They want to take over all the profits, raise airline fees, get a tax holiday, and even expect the government to buy back assets they already own! š” Plus, the deal is based on optimistic projectionsĀ and shady assumptions, leaving Kenya to take all the risks. This is a deal that only benefits AdaniĀ while hurting Kenyan travelersĀ and the economy. šØ